Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.355107e-05 0.000089 0.000105 0.000123 0.000144 0.000166 0.000191
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.383561e-05 0.000072 0.000094 0.000120 0.000150 0.000183 0.000223
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.566190e-05 0.000067 0.000092 0.000123 0.000161 0.000204 0.000257
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.710508e-05 0.000059 0.000087 0.000122 0.000167 0.000219 0.000284
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.963372e-05 0.000051 0.000080 0.000119 0.000168 0.000227 0.000301
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.434655e-05 0.000046 0.000076 0.000118 0.000172 0.000239 0.000324
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.032164e-05 0.000042 0.000073 0.000117 0.000176 0.000249 0.000344
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.752292e-05 0.000039 0.000071 0.000119 0.000183 0.000264 0.000370
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.447117e-05 0.000035 0.000068 0.000118 0.000186 0.000273 0.000388
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.130160e-05 0.000031 0.000063 0.000114 0.000185 0.000278 0.000401
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.008884e-05 0.000030 0.000063 0.000117 0.000194 0.000294 0.000429
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.564067e-06 0.000026 0.000058 0.000112 0.000191 0.000295 0.000437
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.140122e-06 0.000024 0.000057 0.000113 0.000197 0.000309 0.000463
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.399427e-06 0.000020 0.000053 0.000110 0.000196 0.000314 0.000478
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.748090e-06 0.000019 0.000053 0.000113 0.000205 0.000332 0.000510
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.838443e-06 0.000018 0.000051 0.000112 0.000209 0.000343 0.000532
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.881534e-06 0.000015 0.000047 0.000109 0.000208 0.000347 0.000545
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.325976e-06 0.000013 0.000045 0.000108 0.000210 0.000356 0.000565
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.062955e-07 0.000012 0.000043 0.000107 0.000213 0.000365 0.000585
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.757475e-07 0.000011 0.000043 0.000109 0.000220 0.000380 0.000613
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.085741e-07 0.000010 0.000041 0.000108 0.000221 0.000388 0.000631
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.874949e-07 0.000008 0.000038 0.000104 0.000220 0.000390 0.000642
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.322392e-07 0.000008 0.000038 0.000107 0.000228 0.000407 0.000673